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| 230. Seager, R, M. Ting, P. Alexander, H. Liu, J. Nakamura, C. Li and M. Newman 2023: Dynamics of future soil moisture drought in southwest North America: Linkages across seasons in the ocean-atmosphere-land system. J. Climate , 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0235.1: 38, 2139-2154
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| 229. Jiang, F., R. Seager, M. Cane, C. Karamperidou and N.G. Brizuela 2025: Subsurface cooling and sea surface temperature pattern formation over the equatorial Pacific J. Geophysical. Res.-Oceans, 10.1029/2024JC022222: 130, e2024JC022222 |
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| 228. Cook, B.I., A.P. Williams, J.E. Smerdon, K. Marvel and R. Seager, 2025: Megapluvials in Southwest North America AGU Advances, 10.1029/2024AV001508: 6, e2024AV001508 |
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| 227. Schwarzwald, K. and R. Seager, 2024: Revisiting the “East African Paradox”: CMIP6 Models Also Struggle to
Reproduce Strong Observed Long Rain Drying Trend Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0225.1: 37, 6641-6658 |
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| 226. Kornhuber, K., S. Bartusek, R. Seager, H.J. Schellnhuber and M. Ting, 2024: Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model simulations Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 10.1073/pnas.2411258121: 121, e2411258121 |
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| 225. Liu, S., S.Hu and R. Seager, 2024: The West Pacific teleconnection drives the interannual variation of autumn wildfire weather in the western United States after 2000 Earth's Future, 10.1029/2024EF004942: 37, e2024EF004942 |
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| 224. Jiang, F., R. Seager, and M. Cane, 2024: Historical subsurface cooling in the tropical Pacific and its dynamics Journal of Climate, 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0007.1: 37, 5925-5938 |
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| 223. Shaw, T., P. Arias, M. Collins, D. Coumou, A. Diedhiou, C. Garfinkel, S. Jain, M. Roxy, M. Kretschmer, L. R. Leung, S. Narsey, O. Martius, R. Seager, T. Shepherd, A. Sorensson, T. Stephenson, M. Taylor and L. Wang, 2024: Regional climate change: consensus, discrepancies and ways forward Frontiers in Climate, 10.3389/fclim.2024.1391634: 6:1391634. |
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| 222. Jiang, F., R. Seager, and M. Cane, 2024: A climate change signal in the tropical Pacific emerges from decadal variability Nature Communications, 10.1038/s41467-024-52731-6: 15:8291. |
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| 221. Li, Z., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, N. Siegert and J. Mankin, 2024: Emergent trends complicate the interpretation of the United States Drought Monitor (USDM) AGU Advances, 10.1029/2023AV001070: 5. |
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| 220. Seager, R., Y. Wu, A. Cherchi, I.R. Simpson, T.J. Osborn, Y. Kushnir, J. Lukovic, H. Liu, and J. Nakamura, 2024:Recent and near-term future changes in impacts-relevant
seasonal hydroclimate in the world's Mediterranean
climate regions International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.8551: 1-24. |
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| 219. Nakamura, J., R. Seager, H. Liu, F. Cottier, M.J. Puma, D.J. Wrathall, B. Katz, A. de Sherbinin, and S.B. Adamo, 2024: Recent trends in agriculturally relevant climate in Central America International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.8476: 1-24. |
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| 218. Jacobson, T.W.P., R. Seager, A.P. Williams, I. R. Simpson, K. A. McKinnon and H. Liu 2024: An unexpected decline in spring atmospheric humidity in the interior southwestern United States and implications for forest fires. J. Hydrometeor. , 25: 373-390, doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0121.1
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| 218. Simpson, I.R., K. McKinnon, D. Kennedy, D.M. Lawrence, F. Lehner and R. Seager 2024: Observed humidity trends in dry regions contradict climate models. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. , 121: doi.org/10.1073/pnas2302480120
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| 217. Rugenstein, M., S. Dhame, D. Olonscheck, R. J. Wills, M. Watanabe and R. Seager 2023: Connecting the SST pattern problem and hot model problem. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 50: doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105488
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| 216. Schwarzwald, K., R. Seager, M. Ting and A. Giannini 2023: Large-scale stability and the Greater Horn of Africa long and short rains. J. Climate , 36: 7297-7317, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0126.1
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| 215. Wu, Y., J. Lu, M. Ting, R. Seager and F. Liu 2023: The most effective remote forcing in causing U.S.-wide heat extremes as revealed by CESM Green's Function experiments. Geophys. Res. Lett. , 6: 50, doi.org/10.1029/2023GL103355
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| 214. Seager, R, M. Ting, P. Alexander, H. Liu, J. Nakamura, C. Li and M. Newman 2023: Ocean-forcing of cool season precipitation drives ongoing and future decadal drought in southwestern North America. npj Clim. Atm. Sci. , 6: 141, doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00461-9
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| 213. Sobel, A.H., C.-Y. Lee, S. Bowen, S.J. Camargo, M. A. Cane, A. C. Clement, B. Fosu, M. Hart, K. A. Reed, R. Seager and M.K. Tippett 2023: Near-term tropical cyclone risk and Earth system model biases. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. , 120: e2209631120, doi.10.1073/pnas.2209631120
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| 212. Hu, S., R. Seager, S.-P. Xie and M. A. Cane 2023: Spatial and seasonal variations of sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection. J. Clim. , 36: 4899-4912, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0545.1
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| 211. Schwarzwald, K., L. Goddard, R. Seager, M. Ting and K. Marvel 2022: Understanding CMIP6 biases in the representation of the Greater Horn of Africa long and short rains. Clim. Dyn., x: doi.10.1007/s00382-022-06622-5
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| 210. Wong, S.C.K., McKinley, G.A. and R. Seager 2022: Equatorial Pacific pCO2 interannual variability in CMIP6 models. J.Geophys. Res-Biogeosci., 127: e2022JG007243, doi.10.1029/2022JG007243
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| 209. Hoell, A., Quan, X.-W., Hoerling, M., Fu, R., Mankin, J., Simpson, I.R., Seager, R., He, C., Lehner, F., Lisonbee, J., Livneh, B. and A. Sheffield 2022: Record low North American monsoon rainfall in 2020 reignites drought over the American Southwest. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., : s1-s7, doi.10.1175/BAM2-D-21-0129.1
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| 208. Hoell, A., Quan, X.-W., Hoerling, M., Diaz, H., Fu, R., He, C., Lisonbee, J., Mankin, Seager, R., He, C., Sheffield, A., Simpson, I.R. and E. Wahl 2022: Water year 2021 compound precipitaiton and temperature etxremes in California and Nevada. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., : s1-s7, doi.10.1175/BAM2-D-22-0112.2
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| 207. Seager, R., Ting, M., Alexander, P., Nakamura, J., Liu, H., Li. C. and I.R. Simpson 2022: Mechanisms of a meteorological drought onset: Summer 2020 to spring 2021 in southwestern North America. J. Climate, 35: 3767-3785, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0314.1
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| 206. Reed, C., Anderson, W., Kruczkiewicz, A., Nakamura, J., Seager, R. and S.S. Shukla 2022: The impact of flooding on food security across Africa. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 119: xxx-xxx, doi.10.1073/pnas.2119399119 |
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| 205. Jacobson, T., Seager, R., Williams, A.-P. and N.H. Henderson 2022: Climate dynamics preceding summer forest fires in California and the extreme case of 2018. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 61: 989-1002, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0198.1. |
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| 204. Zhang, H., Seager, R. and S.-P. Xie 2022: How does sea surface temperature drive the Intertropical Convergence Zone in the southern Indian Ocean?. J. Climate, 35: 5415-5432, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0870.1. |
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| 203. Cottier, F., M.-L. Flahaux, J. Ribot, R. Seager and G. Ssekajja 2022: Framing the frame: cause and effect in climate-related migration. World Development, 158: 1-9, doi.10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.106016. |
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| 202. Zheng, C., M. Ting, N. Kurtz, C. Orbe, P. Alexander, Seager, R. and M. Tedesco 2022: Turbulent heat flux, downward longwave radiation, and large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with wintertime Barents-Kara Sea extreme sea ice loss events. J. Climate, 35: 3747-3765, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0387.s1. |
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| 201. Seager, R., N. Henderson and M.A. Cane 2022: Continued discrepancies between observed and modeled trends in the tropical Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 35: 4571-4584, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0648.1. |
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| 200. Anderson, W., C. Taylor, S. McDermid, E. Ilboudo-Nebie, R. Seager, W. Schlenker, F. Cottier, A. de Sherbinin, D. Mendeloff and K. Markey 2021: Violent conflict exacerbated drought-related food insecurity between 2009 and 2019 in sub-Saharan Africa. Nature Food., 2: 603-615, doi.10.1038/s43016-021-00327-4. |
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| 199. Suarez-Moreno, R., Y. Kushnir and R. Seager 2021: Assessing decadal and long-term hydroclimate drivers in the Mediterranean region: contribution of internal variability and external forcings. Clim. Dyn., 58: 2079-2107, doi.10.1007/s00382-021-05765-1. |
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| 198. Steiger, N., J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams, R. Seager and A. Varuolo-Clarke 2021: ENSO-driven coupled megadroughts in North and South America over the last millennium. Nature Geosci., 14: 739-744, doi.10.1038/s41561-021-00819-9. |
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| 197. Ting, M., R. Seager, C.Li, H. Liu and N. Henderson 2021: Future Summer Drying in the U.S. Corn Belt and the Role of Midlatitude Storm Tracks. J. Climate, 34: 9043-9056, doi.10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1004.1. |
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| 196. Varuolo-Clarke, A.M., J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams and R. Seager, 2021: Gross discrepancies between observed and simulated 20th to 21st century precipitation trends in southeastern South America. J. Climate, 34: 6441 - 6457, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20—0746.1. |
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| 195. Jong, B.-T., M. Ting and R. Seager, 2021: Assessing ENSO summer teleconnections, impacts, and predictability in North America. J. Climate, 34: 3629 - 3643, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-2—0761.1. |
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| 194. Scholz, S., R. Seager, M. Ting, Y. Kushnir, J. E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, E.R. Cook and S.-H. Baek, 2021: Changing hydroclimate dynamics and the 19th to 20th century wetting trend in the English Channel region of northwest Europe . Climate Dynamics, : , doi.org:10.1007/s00382-021-05977-5. |
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| 193. Bishop, D., A. P. Williams, R. Seager, E. R. Cook, D. M. Peteet, B. I. Cook, M.P. Rao and D. W. Stahle and R. Seager, 2021: Placing the east-west North American aridity gradient in a multi-century context. Env. Res. Lett., 16: L114043, doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac2f63. |
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| 192. Seager, R., N. Henderson, M.A. Cane, H. Zhang and J. Nakamura, 2021: Atmosphere–Ocean Dynamics of Persistent Cold States of the Tropical Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 34: 5,195 - 5124, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0694.1. |
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| 191. Zhang, H., R. Seager, J. He, H. Diao and S. Pascale, 2021: Quantifying atmosphere and ocean origins of North American precipitation variability. Climate Dynamics: 1 - 24, doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05685-0. |
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| 190. Baek, S.-H., J. Smerdon, G.-C. Dobrin, J. Naimark, E.R. Cook, B.I. Cook, R. Seager, M.A. Cane and S. Schloz, 2020: A quantitative hydroclimatic context for the European Great Famine of 1315-17. Nature Comm.: 1 - 7, 10.1038/s-43247-020-00016-3. |
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| 189. Cook, B.I., S.S. McDermid, M.J. Puma, A.P. Williams, R. Seager, M. Kelley, L. Nazarenko and I. Aleinov, 2020: Divergent Regional Climate Consequences of Maintaining Current Irrigation Rates in the 21st Century. JGR Atmos., 125, : 1 - 22, doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031814. |
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| 188. Greene, A.M. and R. Seager, 2020: Climate Variability and Change in Western U.S. Rangelands. I. J. Environ. and Climate Changes, 10: 52 - 74, doi:10.9734/IJECC/2020/v10i630204. |
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| 187. Jong, B. T. , M. Ting, R. Seager and W.B. Anderson, 2020: ENSO Teleconnections and Impacts on U.S. Summertime Temperature during a Multiyear La Niña Life Cycle. J. Climate, 33: 6009 - 6024, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0701.1. |
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| 186. McDermid, S., B.I. Cook, M.G. DeKauwe, J. Mankin, J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams, R. Seager, M.J. Puma, I. Aleinov, M. Kelley and L. Nazarenko, 2020: Disentangling the regional climate impacts of competing vegetation responses to elevated atmospheric CO2. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 126: 1 - 23, doi:10.1029/2020JD034108. |
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| 185. Seager, R. , H. Liu, Y. Kushnir, T.J. Osborn, I.R. Simpson, C.R. Kelley and J. Nakamura, 2020: Mechanisms of Winter Precipitation Variability in the European–Mediterranean Region Associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 33: 7179 - 7196, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0011.1. |
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| 184. Wu, Y., I.R. Simpson and R. Seager, 2019: Inter-model spread in the northern hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex response to climate change in the CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46: 13290-13298, doi:10.1029/2019GL085545. |
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| 183. Seager, R., J. Nakamura and M. Ting, 2020: Prediction of seasonal meteorological drought onset and termination over the southern Great Plains in the North American Multimodel Ensemble. J. Hydromet., 21: 2237 - 2255, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-20-0023.1. |
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| 182. Baek, S.H., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, A.P. Williams and B.I. Cook, 2019: Pacific Ocean forcing and atmospheric variability are the dominant causes of spatially widespread droughts in the contiguous United States. J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124: 2507 - 2524, doi:10.1029/2018JD029219. |
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| 181. Mankin, J, R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B. I. Cook and A.P. Williams, 2019: Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change. Nature Geo., 12: 983 - 988, doi:10.1038/s41561-019-0480-x |
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| 180. Anderson, W., R. Seager, W. Baethgen, M. Cane and L. You, 2019: Synchronous crop failures and climate-forced production variability. Sci. Adv., 5: 1-9, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aaw1976. |
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| 179. Cook, B.I., R. Seager, A.P. Williams, M.J. Puma, S. McDermid, M. Kelley and L. Nazarenko, 2019: Climate change amplification of natural drought variability: The historic mid-Twentieth-Century North American drought in a warmer world. J. Climate., 32: 5417-5436, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0832.1. |
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| 178. Baek, S.H. , N. Steiger, J.E. Smerdon and R. Seager, 2019: Oceanic drivers of widespread drought in the United States over the Common Era. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46: 8721-8280, doi:10.1029/2019GL082838. |
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| 177. Bishop, A.D. , A.P. Williams, R. Seager, A.M. Fiore, B.I. Cook, J.S. Mankin, D. Singh, J.E. Smerdon and M.P. Rao, 2019: Investigating the Causes of Increased Twentieth-Century Fall Precipitation over the Southeastern United States. J. Climate, 32: 575-590, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0244.1. |
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| 176. Bishop, D.A. , A.P. Williams and R. Seager, 2019: Increased fall precipitation in the southeastern US driven by higher-intensity, frontal precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46: 8300-8309, doi:10.1029/2019GL083177. |
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| 175. Pascolini-Campbell, M. , R. Seager, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook and A.O. Pinson, 2019: Dynamics and Variability of the Spring Dry Season in the United States Southwest as Observed in AmeriFlux and NLDAS-2 Data. J. Hydrology, 20: 1081-1102, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0154.1. |
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| 174. Seager, R. , M.A. Cane, N. Henderson, D.E. Lee, R. Abernathey and H. Zhang, 2019: Strengthening of the tropical Pacific zonal SST gradient is a consistent response to rising greenhouse gases. Nature Clim. Change, 9: 517-522, doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0505-x. |
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| 173. Seager, R. , T.J. Osborn, Y. Kushnir, I.R. Simpson, H. Liu and J. Nakamura, 2019: Climate variability and change in Mediterranean-type climate regions. J. Climate: 2887 - 2915, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0472.1. |
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| 172. Seager, R., J. Nakamura and M. Ting, 2019: Mechanisms of seasonal soil moisture drought onset and termination in the southern Great Plains. J. Hydrology, 20: 751 - 771, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0191.1. |
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| 171. Simpson, I.R., P. Hitchcock, R. Seager and Y. Wu, 2019: The role of the stratosphere in future mid-latitude climate projections. US ClIVAR Variations, 17: 33 - 39. |
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| 170. Steiger, N.J. , J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and A.P. Williams, 2019: Oceanic and radiative forcing of medieval megadroughts in the American southwest. Sci. Adv., 5. |
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| 169. Anderson, W. , R. Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2018: Trans-Pacific ENSO teleconnections pose a correlated risk to agriculture. Ag. Forest. Meteor., 262: 298-309, doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.07.023. |
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| 168. Cook, B., A.P. Williams, J. Mankin, R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon and D. Singh, 2018: Revisiting the leading drivers of Pacific coastal drought variability in the contiguous United States. J. Climate: 31: 25-43, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0172.1. |
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| 167. Giannini, A., B. Lyon, R. Seager and N. Vigaud, 2018: Dynamical and thermodynamic elements of modeled climate change at the East African margin of convection. Geo. Res. Lett., 45: 992-1000, doi:10.1002/2017GL075486. |
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| 166. Jong, B.-T. , M. Ting, R. Seager and D.-E. Lee, 2018: Role of the equatorial Pacific SST forecast error in the late winter California precipitation forecast for the 2015-16 El Niño. J. Climate, 31: 839-852, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0145.1. |
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| 165. Mankin, J.S., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.P. Williams and R.H. Horton, 2018: Blue Water Trade-Offs With Vegetation in a CO2-Enriched Climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45: 3115 - 3125, doi:10.1002/2018GL077051. |
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| 164. Seager, R , A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura and J. Axelson, 2018: Analysis and modeling of interannual timescale coupling between drought and bark beetles across the American West. Ecosystems: submitted. |
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| 163. Seager, R., J. Feldman, N. Lis, M. Ting, A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Wither the 100th meridian? The once and future physical and human geography of America’s arid-humid divide. Part II: The meridian moves east. Earth Interactions, 22(5): 1, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-17-0012.1. |
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| 162. Seager, R., N. Lis, J. Feldman, M. Ting, A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Wither the 100th meridian? The once and future physical and human geography of America’s arid-humid divide. Part I: The story so far. Earth Interactions, 22(5): 1, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-17-0011.1. |
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| 161. Simpson, I.R , P. Hitchock, R. Seager, Y. Wu and P. Callaghan, 2018: The downward influence of uncertainty in the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex response to climate change. J. Climate, 31(6371-6391, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0041.1). |
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| 160. Singh, D., R. Seager, B.I. Cook, M.A. Cane, M. Ting, E.R. Cook and M. Davis, 2018: Climate and the great global famine of 1876-78. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 31: 9445-9467, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0159.1. |
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| 159. Ting, M. , R. Seager, C. Li, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Mechanism of Future Spring Drying in the Southwest U.S. in CMIP5 Models. J. Climate, 31: 4265-4279, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0574.1. |
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| 158. Anderson, W. , R Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2017: Life cycles of agriculturally-relevant ENSO teleconnections in North and South America. Inter. J. Climatology, 37: 3297-3318. |
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| 157. Anderson, W., R. Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2017: Crop production variability in North and South America forced by life-cycles of the ElNiño Southern Oscillation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 239: 151-165, doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.03.008. |
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| 156. Baek, S.H. , J.E. Smerdon, S. Coats, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook, E.R. Cook and R. Seager, 2017: Precipitation, temperature, and teleconnection signals across the combined North American, Monsoon Asia, and Old World Drought Atlases. J. Climate: 7141-7155, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0766.1. |
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| 155. Kelley, C. , S. Mohtadi, M.A. Cane, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2017: Commentary on the Syria case: Climate as a contributing factor, Political Geography, pp. 1-3, doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.06.013. |
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| 154. Mankin, J.S. , J.E Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A. Park Williams and R. Seager, 2017: The curious case of projected 21st-century drying but greening in the American West. J. Climate: doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0213.1. |
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| 153. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, A. Pinson and B.I. Cook, 2017: Covariability of climate and streamflow in the Upper Rio Grande from interannual to interdecadal timescales. J. Hydrology: Regional Studies 3, 13: 58 - 71, doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.007. |
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| 152. Scheff, J. , R. Seager, H. Liu and S. Coats, 2017: Are glacials dry? Consequences for paleoclimatology and for greenhouse warming. J. Climate: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0854.1. |
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| 151. Seager, R. and M. Ting, 2017: Decadal Drought Variability Over North America: Mechanisms and Predictability. Curr Clim Change Rep: 1, doi:10.1007/s40641-017-0062-1. |
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| 150. Seager, R. , N. Henderson, M.A. Cane, H. Liu and J. Nakamura, 2017: Is There a Role for Human-Induced Climate Change in the Precipitation Decline that Drove the California Drought? J. Climate, 30: 10237-10258, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0192.1. |
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| 149. Williams, A.P. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon, D.A. Bishop, R. Seager and J.S. Mankin, 2017: The 2016 southeastern US drought: an extreme departure from centennial wetting and cooling. Geo. Res. Atmos., 122(20): 10888-10905, doi:10.1002/2017JD027523. |
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| 148. Coats, S., J. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, R. Seager, E.R. Cook and K. Achukaitis, 2016: Internal ocean-atmsophere variability drives megadroughts in Western North America. Nature, 43: 9886–9894, doi:10.1002/2016GL070105. |
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| 147. Jong, B.-T., M. Ting and R. Seager, 2016: El Niño's impact on California precipitation: seasonality, regionality, and El Niño intensity. Environ. Res. Lett., 11: 1 - 8, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054021. |
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| 146. Ramesh, N., M.A. Cane and R. Seager, 2016: Predictability and prediction of persistent cool states of the tropical Pacific Ocean. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3446-3. |
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| 145. Schubert, S. D., R. E. Stewart, H. L. Wang, M. Barlow, E. H. Berbery, W. J. Cai, M. P. Hoerling, K. K. Kanikicharla, R. D. Koster, B. Lyon, A. Mariotti, C. R. Mechoso, O. V. Muller, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, R. Seager, S. I. Senevirante, L. X. Zhang and T. J. Zhou, 2016: Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits. Journal of Climate, 29(11): 3989-4019, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0452.1. |
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| 144. Seager, R. and I.R. Simpson, 2016: Western boundary currents and climate change. J. Geo. Res.: Oceans, 121: doi:10.1002/2016JC012156. |
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| 143. Seager, R., 2016: Physical Mechanisms of the California Drought, Harvard College Review of Environment & Society. |
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| 142. Simpson, I., R. Seager, M. Ting and T. Shaw, 2016: Causes of change in Northern Hemisphere winter meridional wind and regional hydroclimate. Nature Clim. Change, 6: 65-70, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2783. |
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| 141. Biasutti, M. and R. Seager, 2015: Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19(6): 2945-2961. |
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| 140. Coats, S. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pancontinental Droughts in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28: 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1. |
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| 139. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28: 124-142, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1 |
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| 138. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, D. Griffin and B.I. Cook, 2015: Winter-to-Summer Precipitation Phasing in Southwestern North America: A Multi-century perspective from Paleoclimatic Model-Data Comparisons. J. Geo. Res. - Atmos., 120: 8052–8064, doi:10.1002/2015JD023085. |
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| 137. Cook, E.R., R. Seager, Y. Kushnir, K. Briffa, U. Buntgen, D. Frabk, P. Krusic, W. Tegel, G. van der Schrier, L. Andreu-Hayles, M. Baillie, C. Baitttinger, A. Billambo, N. Bleicher, N. Bonde, D. Brown, M. Carrer, R. Cooper, K. Cufar, C. Dittmar, J. Esper, C. Giggs, B. Gunnarson, B. Gunther, E. Gutierrez, K. Haneca, S. Helem, F. Herzig, K.-U. Heussner, J. Hofman, P. Janda, R. Kontic, N. Kose, T. Kyncl, T. Levanic, H. Linderholm, S. Manning, T. Melvin, D. Miles, B. Neuwirth, K. Nicolussi, P. Nola, M. Panayotov, I. Popa, A. Rothe, K. Seftigen, A. Seim, H. Svarva, M. Svoboda, T. Thun, M. Timonen, R. Touchan, V. Trotsiuk, V. Truet, F. Walder, T. Wazny, R. Wilson and C. Zang, 2015: Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Sci. Adv.: 1- 9, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500561. |
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| 136. Kelley, C.S., S. Mohtadi, M.A. Cane, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2015: Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci, 112(11): 3241 - 3246, doi/10.1073/pnas.1421533112. |
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| 135. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, D.S. Gutzler, B.I. Cook and D. Griffin, 2015: Causes of Interannual to decadal variability of Gila Riverstreamflow over the past century. J. Hydrology: Regional Studies 3: 494-508. |
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| 134. Seager, R., 2015: Decadal hydroclimate variability across the Americas. In: M.a.B. In Climate Change (Editor), C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif and J.M. Wallace. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, pp. 235-253. |
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| 133. Seager, R., A. Hooks, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Climatology, Variability, and Trends in U.S. Vapor Pressure Deficit, an Important Fire-Related Meteorological Quantity. J. Applied Meteorlogy and Climatology, 54: 1121-1141, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0321.1. |
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| 132. Seager, R., M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. L. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Causes of the 2011-14 California Drought. Journal of Climate, 28(18): 6997-7024, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1. |
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| 131. Simpson, I., R. Seager, T. Shaw and M. Ting, 2015: Mediterranean summer climate and the importance of Middle East topography. J. Climate, 28: 1977-1996, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00298.1. |
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| 130. Smerdon, J. E., B. I. Cook, E. R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. Journal of Climate, 28(8): 3212-3231. |
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| 129. Williams, A. P., R. E. Schwartz, S. Iacobellis, R. Seager, B. I. Cook, C. J. Still, G. Husak and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(5): 1527-1536, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063266. |
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| 128. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, J.T. Abatzoglou, B.I. Cook and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Contribution of anthropogenic warming to the 2012–2014 California drought. Geo. Res. Let., 42: 6819–6828, doi:10.1002/2015GL064924. |
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| 127. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation. J. Climate, 28: 2385-2404, DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00484.1. |
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| 126. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The rainfall annual cycle bias over East Africa induced by CMIP5 coupled climate models. J. Climate, 28: 9789-9802, doi: doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0323.1. |
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| 125. Ballard, T., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, 18(No. 14): 1-28, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-14-0004.1. |
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| 124. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 27: 383-397, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1. |
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| 123. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and Sloan Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y. |
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| 122. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geo. Res. Let., 41: doi:10.1002/2014GL061661. |
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| 121. Gonzalez, P. L. M., L. M. Polvani, R. Seager and G. J. P. Correa, 2014: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics, 42(7-8): 1775-1792. |
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| 120. Hoerling, M., J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert and R. Seager, 2014: Causes and Predictability of the 2012 Great Plains Drought. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 269-282. |
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| 119. Maloney, E., S.J. Camargo, E. Chang, B. Collee, R. Fu, K. Geil, Q. Hu, X. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. Karnauskas, J. Kinter, B. Kirkman, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, K. Lombardo, L. Long, A. Mariotti, J. Meyerson, K. Mo, D. Neelin, Z. Pan, R. Seager, Y. Serra, A. Seth, J. Sheffield, J. Stroeve, J. Thibeault, S.-P. Xie, C. Wang, B. Wyman and M. Zhao, 2014: North American Climate in the CMIP5 experiments. Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. . J. Climate, 27: 2230-2270, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1. |
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| 118. Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27: 4581-4606. |
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| 117. Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B.I. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and Thermodynamical Causes of Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle over North America in Response to Global Warming. J. Climate, 27: 7921-7948, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1. |
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| 116. Seager, R., H. Liu, N. Henderson, I. Simpson, C. Kelley, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir and M. Ting, 2014: Causes of Increasing Aridification of the Mediterranean Region in Response to Rising Greenhouse Gases. J. Climate, 27: 4655-4675, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00446.1. |
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| 115. Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2014: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, 15(1): doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1. |
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| 114. Simpson, I.R., T.A. Shaw and R. Seager, 2014: A Diagnosis of the Seasonally and Longitudinally Varying Midlatitude Circulation Response to Global Warming. J. Atmos. Sci., 71: 2489-2515, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0325.1. |
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| 113. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. More and T. Rahn, 2014: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire: doi.org/10.1071/WF14023. |
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| 112. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, M. Berkelhammer, A. Macalady, M. Crimmins, T. Swetnam, A. Trugman, N. Buenning, N. Hryniw, N. McDowell, D. Noone, C. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Causes and Implications of Extreme Atmospheric Moisture Demand during the Record-Breaking 2011 Wildfire Season in the Southwest United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol, 53: 2671-2684, DOI :10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0053.1. |
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| 111. Yang, W. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2014: The East African Long Rains in Observations and Models. Journal of Climate, 27(19): 7185-7202, Doi 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00447.1. |
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| 110. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical Pacific teleconnection North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 Model Simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40: doi:10.1002/grl.50938. |
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| 109. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. Gonzáez-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, 26: 7635-7649, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00603.1. |
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| 108. Cook, B.I. and R. Seager, 2013: The response of the North American Monsoon to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J. Climate, 118: 1690-1699, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50111. |
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| 107. Cook, B.I., R. Seager, R.L. Miller and J.A. Mason, 2013: Intensification of North American megadroughts through surface and dust aerosol forcing. J. Climate, 26: 4414-4430, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00022.1. |
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| 106. Frierson, D. M. W., Y. T. Hwang, N. S. Fuckar, R. Seager, S. M. Kang, A. Donohoe, E. A. Maroon, X. J. Liu and D. S. Battisti, 2013: Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere. Nature Geoscience, 6(11): 940-944. |
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| 105. Gonzalez, P.L.M., L.M. Polvani, R. Seager and G.J.P. Correa, 2013: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1777-x. |
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| 104. Nakamura, J., U. Lall, Y. Kushnir, A.W. Robertson and R. Seager, 2013: Dynamical Structure of Extreme Floods in the U.S. Midwest and the United Kingdom. J. Hydrometeor., 14: 485-504. |
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| 103. Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes, 2013: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region. J. Climate, 26: 1339-1354, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1. |
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| 102. Seager, R. and B. Cook, 2013: Dust Bowl, Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards. Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series, pp. 197-201. |
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| 101. Seager, R. and N. Henderson, 2013: Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the 1 ERA-Interim Reanalysis with reference to analysis of 2 CMIP-archived atmospheric model data. J. Climate, 26: 7876 - 7901, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1. |
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| 100. Seager, R., M. Ting, C. Li, N. Naik(Henderson), B. Cook, J. Nakamura and H. Liu, 2013: Projections of declining surface-water availability for southwestern United States. Nature Climatic Change: doi:10.1038/nclimate1787. |
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| 99. Sheffield, J., S. J. Camargo, R. Fu, Q. Hu, X. A. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. B. Karnauskas, S. T. Kim, J. Kinter, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, E. Maloney, A. Mariotti, J. E. Meyerson, J. D. Neelin, S. Nigam, Z. T. Pan, A. Ruiz-Barradas, R. Seager, Y. L. Serra, D. Z. Sun, C. Z. Wang, S. P. Xie, J. Y. Yu, T. Zhang and M. Zhao, 2013: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability. Journal of Climate, 26(23): 9247-9290, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1. |
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| 98. Tierney, J. E., J. E. Smerdon, K. J. Anchukaitis and R. Seager, 2013: Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean. Nature, 493(7432): 389-392, doi:10.1038/nature11785. |
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| 97. Williams, A. P., C. D. Allen, A. K. Macalady, D. Griffin, C. A. Woodhouse, D. M. Meko, T. W. Swetnam, S. A. Rauscher, R. Seager, H. D. Grissino-Mayer, J. S. Dean, E. R. Cook, C. Gangodagamage, M. Cai and N. G. McDowell, 2013: Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nature Climate Change, 3(3): 292-297. |
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| 96. Wu, Y., L. Polvani and R. Seager, 2013: The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Protecting the Earth's Hydroclimate. J. Climate, 26: 4049-4068, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00675.1. |
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| 95. Wu, Y., R. Seager, T.A. Shaw, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2013: Atmospheric Circulation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part II: Atmospheric Transient Adjustment and its Dynamics. J. Climate(26): 918-935, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1. |
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| 94. Yang, W., R. Seager and M.A. Cane, 2013: Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months. J. Atmos. Sci., 70: 583-599, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0140.1. |
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| 93. Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and J.F. Gonzáles-Roucho, 2012: A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25: 5,943-5961, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1. |
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| 92. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, season cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39: L21703, doi:10.1029/2012GL053416. |
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| 91. Ruff, T.W., Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2012: Comparing Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Patterns of Interannual Precipitation Variability over the Western United States and Northern Mexico. J. Hydrometeorology, 13: 366-378, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-10-05003.1. |
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| 90. Seager, R. and N. Naik(Henderson), 2012: A mechanisms-based approach for detecting recent anthropogenic hydroclimate change. J. Climate, 25(1): 236-261, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00056.1. |
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| 89. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and L. Vogel, 2012: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, 25: 3355-3372. |
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| 88. Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir and J. Nakamura, 2012: The 1960s Drought and the Subsequent Shift to a Wetter Climate in the Catskill Mountains Region of the New York City Watershed. J. Climate, 25: 6721-6742, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00518.1. |
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| 87. Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and T.A. Shaw, 2012: Atmospheric Curculation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part I: Model Experiments and Transient Thermal Response in the Troposphere. J. Climate, 25: 2862-2879, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00284.1. |
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| 86. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: On the Causes and Dynamics of the Early Twentieth-Century North American Pluvial. J. Climate, 24: 5043, DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4201.1. |
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| 85. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: The impact of devegetated dune fields on North American climate during the late Medieval Climate Anomaly. Geo. Res. Letters, 38: L14704, doi:10.1029/2011GL047566. |
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| 84. D'Arrigo, R., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande and E.R. Cook, 2011: The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame? Geo. Res. Lett. , 38: L05706, doi:10.1029/2011GL046696. |
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| 83. Kang, S.M and R. Seager, 2011: Croll Revisited: Why is the Northern Hemisphere Warmer than the Southern Hemisphere? J. Climate. |
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| 82. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2011: The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th Century drying of the Mediterranean region. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z. |
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| 81. Ting, M., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and L. Cuihua, 2011: Robust features of Atlantic multi‐decadal variability and its climate impacts. Geo. Res. Letters, 38(L17705): doi:10.1029/2011GL048712. |
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| 80. Burgman, R., R. Seager, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2010: Role of tropical Pacific SSTs in global medieval hydroclimate: A modeling study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37(L06705): doi:10.1029/2009GL042239. |
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| 79. Cook, B., R. Seager and R. Miller, 2010: Atmospheric circulation anomalies during two persistent North American droughts: 1932-1939 and 1948-1957. Climate Dynamics: 10.1007/s00382-010-0807-1. |
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| 78. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, R. R. Heim, R. S. Vose, C. Herweijer and C. Woodhouse, 2010: Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25(1): 48-61. |
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| 77. Cook, I. B., E.R. Cook, K.J. Anchukaitis, R. Seager and R. L. Miller, 2010: Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0897-9. |
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| 76. Harnik, N., R. Seager, N. Naik(Henderson), M.A. Cane and M. Ting, 2010: The role of linear wave refraction in the transient eddy–mean flow response to tropical Pacific SST anomalies. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136: 2132-2146. |
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| 75. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Nakamura, 2010: Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3172.1. |
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| 74. Seager, R. , N. Naik(Henderson), W. Baethgen, A. Robertson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and S. Jurburg, 2010: Tropical oceanic causes of interannual to multidecadal precipitation variability across southeast South America over the past century. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3578.1. |
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| 73. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and G. A. Vecchi, 2010: Thermodynamic and Dynamic Mechanisms for Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle in Response to Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 23(17): 4651-4668. |
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| 72. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson), M. Ting, M. A. Cane, N. Harnik and Y. Kushnir, 2010: Adjustment of the atmospheric circulation to tropical Pacific SST anomalies: Variability of transient eddy propagation in the Pacific-North America sector. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136: 277-296. DOI: 10.1002/qj.588. |
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| 71. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2010: Northern hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10. Geo. Res. Letters, 37(L14703): doi:10.1029/2010GL043830. |
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| 70. Wu, Y., M. Ting, R. Seager, M.A. Cane and H.-P. Huang, 2010: Changes in storm tracks and energy transports in a warmer climate simulated by the GFDL CM2.1 model. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0776-4. |
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| 69. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2009: Amplification of the North American "Dust Bowl" drought through human-induced land degradation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(13): 4997-5001. |
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| 68. Karnauskas, K. B., R. Seager, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 2009: Observed Strengthening of the Zonal Sea Surface Temperature Gradient across the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Journal of Climate, 22(16): 4316-4321. |
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| 67. Schubert, S., D. Gutzler, H. L. Wang, A. Dai, T. Delworth, C. Deser, K. Findell, R. Fu, W. Higgins, M. Hoerling, B. Kirtman, R. Koster, A. Kumar, D. Legler, D. Lettenmaier, B. Lyon, V. Magana, K. Mo, S. Nigam, P. Pegion, A. Phillips, R. Pulwarty, D. Rind, A. Ruiz-Barradas, J. Schemm, R. Seager, R. Stewart, M. Suarez, J. Syktus, M. F. Ting, C. Z. Wang, S. Weaver and N. Zeng, 2009: A US CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5251-5272. |
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| 66. Seager, R., A. Tzanova and J. Nakamura, 2009: Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, Variability over the Last Millennium, and the Potential for Future Hydroclimate Change. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5021-5045. |
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| 65. Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson), J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook and D. W. Stahle, 2009: Mexican drought: an observational modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change. Atmosfera, 22(1): 1-31. |
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| 64. Stahle, D. W. , E. R. Cook, J. Villanueva Diaz, F. K. Fye, D. J. Burnette, R. D. Griffin, R. Acuna Soto, R. Seager and Jr. R. R. Heim, 2009: Early 21st-Century Drought in Mexico. EOS, Vol. 90(11): 89-100. |
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| 63. Ting, M. F., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and C. H. Li, 2009: Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 22(6): 1469-1481. |
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| 62. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2008: Dust and sea surface temperature forcing of the 1930s "Dust Bowl" drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L08710(8): doi:10.1029/2008GL033486. |
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| 61. Emile-Geay, J., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, E. R. Cook and G. H. Haug, 2008: Volcanoes and ENSO over the past millennium. Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3134-3148. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1884.1. |
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| 60. Herweijer, C. and R. Seager, 2008: The global footprint of persistent extra-tropical drought in the instrumental era. International Journal of Climatology, 28(13): 1761-1774. |
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| 59. Seager, R., 2008: Setting the record straight on Europe's mild winters. The Plantsman, Royal Horticultural Society, 7(Part 1): 22-27. |
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| 58. Seager, R., R. Burgman, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, E. Cook, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Tropical Pacific Forcing of North American Medieval Megadroughts: Testing the Concept with an Atmosphere Model Forced by Coral-Reconstructed SSTs. Journal of Climate, 21(23): 6175-6190. |
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| 57. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Would advance knowledge of 1930s SSTs have allowed prediction of the dust bowl drought? Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3261-3281. |
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| 56. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and D. W. Stahle, 2007: North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences. Earth-Science Reviews, 81(1-2): 93-134. |
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| 55. Emile-Geay, J., M. Cane, R. Seager, A. Kaplan and P. Almasi, 2007: El Niño as a mediator of the solar influence on climate. Paleoceanography, 22(3): PA3210, doi:10.1029/2006PA001304. |
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| 54. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, E. R. Cook and J. Emile-Geay, 2007: North American droughts of the last millennium from a gridded network of tree-ring data. Journal of Climate, 20(7): 1353-1376. |
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| 53. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and P. Thoppi, 2007: Arabian Sea response to monsoon variations. Paleoceanography, 22(PA4217): doi:10.1029/2007PA001467. |
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| 52. Schubert, Siegfried, Randal Koster, Martin Hoerling, Richard Seager, Dennis Lettenmaier, Arun Kumar and David Gutzler, 2007: Predicting Drought on Seasonal-to-Decadal Time Scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(10): 1625-1630. |
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| 51. Seager, R and E.R. Cook, 2007: Medieval megadroughts in the Four Corners region: Characterization and causes, The Society for Americaqn Archaeology, Austin, Texas. |
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| 50. Seager, R. and D. S. Battisti, 2007: Challenges to our understanding of the general circulation: abrupt climate change. In: T. Schneider and A.S. Sobel (Editors), The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere: Phenomena, Theory, Challenges. Princeton University Press, pp. 331-371. |
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| 49. Seager, R., 2007: The Turn of the Century drought across North America: global context, dynamics and past analogues. Journal of Climate, 20: 5527-5552. |
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| 48. Seager, R., 2007: The turn of the century North American drought: Global context, dynamics, and past analogs. Journal of Climate, 20(22): 5527-5552. |
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| 47. Seager, R., M. F. Ting, I. Held, Y. Kushnir, J. Lu, G. Vecchi, H. P. Huang, N. Harnik, A. Leetmaa, N. C. Lau, C. H. Li, J. Velez(Nakamura) and N. Naik(Henderson), 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316(5828): 1181-1184. |
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| 46. Seager, R., N. Graham, C. Herweijer, A. L. Gordon, Y. Kushnir and E. Cook, 2007: Blueprints for Medieval hydroclimate. Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(19-21): doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.04.020, pp. 2322-2336. |
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| 45. Clement, A. C. , J. Emile-Geay, R. Seager, M. A. Cane and M. N. Evans, 2006: Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium, PAGES Newsletter, Aug. 2006, pp. 12-14. |
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| 44. Herweijer, C., R. Seager and E. R. Cook, 2006: North American droughts of the mid to late nineteenth century: a history, simulation and implication for Mediaeval drought. Holocene, 16(2): 159-171. |
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| 43. Seager, R., 2006: The source of Europe's mild climate. American Scientist, 94(4): 334-341. |
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| 42. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and R. Murtugudde, 2005: Why are there tropical warm pools? Journal of Climate, 18(24): 5294-5311. |
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| 41. Hazeleger, W., C. Severijns, R. Seager and F. Molteni, 2005: Tropical Pacific-driven decadel energy transport variability. Journal of Climate, 18(12): 2037-2051. |
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| 40. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, M. Winton and A. Clement, 2005: Why ocean heat transport warms the global mean climate. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 57(4): 662-675. |
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| 39. Huang, H. P., R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2005: The 1976/77 transition in precipitation over the Americas and the influence of tropical sea surface temperature. Climate Dynamics, 24(7-8): 721-740. |
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| 38. Seager, R., N. Harnik, W. A. Robinson, Y. Kushnir, M.F. Ting, H. P. Huang and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Mechanisms of ENSO-forcing of hemispherically symmetric precipitation variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131(608): 1501-1527. |
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| 37. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik and J. Velez, 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18(19): 4065-4088. |
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| 36. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18(19): 4065-4088. |
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| 35. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and N. H. Naik(Henderson), 2004: How can tropical Pacific Ocean heat transport vary? Journal of Physical Oceanography, 34(1): 320-333. |
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| 34. Karspeck, A. R., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2004: Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability in an intermediate model. Journal of Climate, 17(14): 2842-2850. |
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| 33. Seager, R., A. R. Karspeck, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini, A. Kaplan, B. Kerman and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2004: Predicting Pacific decadal variability. In: C. Wang, S.P. Xie and J.A. Carton (Editors), Earth Climate: The ocean-atmosphere interaction, American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, pp. 105-120. |
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| 32. Emile-Geay, J., M. A. Cane, N. H. Naik(Henderson), R. Seager, A. C. Clement and A. van Geen, 2003: Warren revisited: Atmospheric freshwater fluxes and "Why is no deep water formed in the North Pacific''. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 108(C6): 3178, doi: 10.1029/2001JC001058. |
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| 31. Seager, R. , R. Murtugudde, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2003: Why is there an evaporation minimum at the Equator? J. Climate, 16: 3792-3801. |
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| 30. Seager, R., 2003: Gulf Stream la fin d'un mythe. La Recherche(361): 40-46. |
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| 29. Seager, R., N. Harnik, Y. Kushnir, W. Robinson and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Mechanisms of hemispherically symmetric climate variability. Journal of Climate, 16(18): 2960-2978. |
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| 28. Seager, R., R. Murtugudde, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. Clement, N. Gordon and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Air-sea interaction and the seasonal cycle of the subtropical anticyclones. Journal of Climate, 16(12): 1948-1966. |
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| 27. Greene, A. M., R. Seager and W. S. Broecker, 2002: Tropical snowline depression at the Last Glacial Maximum: Comparison with proxy records using a single-cell tropical climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 107(D7-8): doi:10.1029/2001JD000670. |
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| 26. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, J. Miller(Nakamura) and J. C. H. Chiang, 2002: A simple coupled model of tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(23): 2133. |
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| 25. Seager, R., D. S. Battisti, J. Yin, N. Gordon, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2002: Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe's mild winters? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128(586): 2563-2586. |
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| 24. Clement, A. C., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 2001: An orbitally driven tropical source for abrupt climate change. Journal of Climate, 14(11): 2369-2375. |
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| 23. Giannini, A., J. C. H. Chiang, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2001: The ENSO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic Ocean: Contributions of the remote and local SSTs to rainfall variability in the tropical Americas. Journal of Climate, 14(24): 4530-4544. |
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| 22. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson) and K. Rodgers, 2001: Impact of the midlatitude storm track on the upper Pacific Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31(2): 616-636. |
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| 21. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, N. H. Naik(Henderson), M. A. Cane and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2001: Wind-driven shifts in the latitude of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension and generation of SST anomalies on decadal timescales. Journal of Climate, 14(22): 4249-4265. |
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| 20. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, P. Chang, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura) and W. Hazeleger, 2001: Looking for the role of the ocean in tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Journal of Climate, 14(5): 638-655. |
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| 19. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2000: Suppression of El Niño during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth's orbit. Paleoceanography, 15(6): 731-737. |
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| 18. Seager, R., A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2000: Glacial cooling in the tropics: Exploring the roles of tropospheric water vapor, surface wind speed, and boundary layer processes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57(13): 2144-2157. |
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| 17. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura), G. Krahmann and H. Cullen, 2000: Causes of Atlantic Ocean climate variability between 1958 and 1998. Journal of Climate, 13(16): 2845-2862. |
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| 16. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 1999: Orbital controls on the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the tropical climate. Paleoceanography, 14(4): 441-456. |
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| 15. Clement, A. and R. Seager, 1999: Climate and the tropical oceans. Journal of Climate, 12(12): 3383-3401. |
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| 14. Clement, A., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 1999: Patterns and mechanisms of twentieth century climate change. World Resources Rev., 10: 161-185. |
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| 13. Stockdale, T. N., A. J. Busalacchi, D. E. Harrison and R. Seager, 1998: Ocean modeling for ENSO. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 103(C7): 14325-14355. |
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| 12. Cane, M. A., A. C. Clement, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir, D. Pozdnyakov, R. Seager, S. E. Zebiak and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Twentieth-century sea surface temperature trends. Science, 275(5302): 957-960. |
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| 11. Seager, R. and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Ocean dynamics, thermocline adjustment, and regulation of tropical SST. Journal of Climate, 10(3): 521-534. |
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| 10. Clement, A. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and S. E. Zebiak, 1996: An ocean dynamical thermostat. Journal of Climate, 9(9): 2190-2196. |
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| 9. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and A. J. Busalacchi, 1996: Simulation of the tropical oceans with an ocean GCM coupled to an atmospheric mixed-layer model. Journal of Climate, 9(8): 1795-1815. |
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| 8. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1995: Simulation of Tropical Climate with a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of Climate, 8(10): 2497-2520. |
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| 7. Seager, R., M. B. Blumenthal and Y. Kushnir, 1995: An Advective Atmospheric Mixed-Layer Model for Ocean Modeling Purposes - Global Simulation of Surface Heat Fluxes. Journal of Climate, 8(8): 1951-1964. |
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| 6. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 1995: On heat flux boundary conditions for ocean models. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 25(12): 3219-3230. |
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| 5. Seager, R. and M. B. Blumenthal, 1994: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature with Satellite-Derived Solar Radiative Forcing. Journal of Climate, 7(12): 1943-1957. |
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| 4. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1994: Convective Interaction with Dynamics in a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51(10): 1307-1331. |
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| 3. Seager, R., 1991: A Simple-Model of the Climatology and Variability of the Low-Level Wind-Field in the Tropics. Journal of Climate, 4(2): 164-179. |
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| 2. Seager, R., 1989: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature - 1970-87. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 19(4): 419-434. |
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| 1. Seager, R., S. E. Zebiak and M. A. Cane, 1988: A Model of the Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature Climatology. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 93(C2): 1265-1280. |
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